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Red48
20318.9
34130.9
711018.9
Blue62
192319.8
48428.7
260726.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818802040601001201404862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#17
30.91.9
33.631.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.1
End8.5
red by 2.2
484
#3
28.71.6
30.128.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Second
203
#15
18.91.9
21.619.7
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End7.6
blue by 7.9
26.81.6
29.928.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End3.8
Third
7110
#13
18.91.9
21.119.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End5.3
blue by 0.9
1923
#12
19.81.6
21.620.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsMissed72%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsMissed