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Red65
36526.4
69440.0
622618.0
Blue110
31640.3
253937.0
139132.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9212005015065110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#4
40.01.9
40.138.1
Auto11.9
Teleop18.6
End9.4
blue by 0.4
316
#2
40.30.2
42.242.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End12.1
Second
365
#16
26.41.9
32.630.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
blue by 10.6
37.00.2
35.435.2
Auto7.3
Teleop18.4
End11.3
Third
6226
#10
18.01.9
17.515.6
Auto8.7
Teleop5.8
End3.5
blue by 14.2
32.20.2
31.531.3
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsMissed91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsMissed96%Hangar oddsEarned