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Red32
140315.8
19315.0
181114.8
Blue7
46527.7
80757.7
56668.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4025010203050607080327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#16
15.81.3
11.910.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.8
red by 7.4
5666
#24
8.42.5
8.96.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Second
193
#11
15.01.3
10.18.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End5.2
red by 7.2
4652
#31
7.72.5
8.56.0
Auto3.1
Teleop0.9
End3.8
Third
1811
#15
14.80.9
14.113.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.2
red by 7.1
8075
#29
7.73.3
8.95.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed