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Red20
68603.0
85886.1
167215.2
Blue4
20700.9
19892.5
83418.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282601020405060204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.20.4
13.212.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End4.0
blue by 3.4
834
#7
18.62.3
12.710.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End7.5
Second
8588
#27
6.10.4
4.64.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End1.7
red by 3.7
1989
#25
2.51.4
4.02.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Third
6860
#30
3.00.6
7.97.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.4
End0.7
red by 2.1
2070
#35
0.92.3
7.85.5
Auto1.6
Teleop-1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed