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Red45
55515.7
543817.0
871410.0
Blue72
331426.7
5621.5
851312.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29540204060801001204572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5438
#14
17.00.5
10.410.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
blue by 9.7
26.71.6
20.822.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End9.8
Second
555
#26
15.70.5
15.816.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.7
End3.6
blue by 5.8
56
#12
21.51.6
13.314.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End11.2
Third
8714
#30
10.00.5
3.94.3
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.4
blue by 2.4
8513
#19
12.42.7
13.516.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsEarned