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Red67
22324.1
813917.9
877112.1
Blue55
80758.9
127920.1
167629.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4561020801001206755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#11
24.11.5
21.623.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.9
End7.1
blue by 5.4
29.50.0
27.627.5
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End11.4
Second
8139
#15
17.91.5
13.715.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End5.3
blue by 2.2
1279
#27
20.10.0
18.518.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.0
End3.4
Third
8771
#25
12.11.5
9.310.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End3.6
red by 3.2
8075
#36
8.90.0
9.69.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
37%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed