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Red62
3037.3
191432.2
543817.0
Blue49
7520.7
566616.3
257716.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49422060801006249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.1
27.528.7
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End7.8
red by 11.5
75
#16
20.70.6
14.214.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Second
5438
#14
17.01.1
11.512.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
red by 0.6
5666
#20
16.30.6
12.813.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.9
End2.6
Third
303
#34
7.31.1
5.87.0
Auto5.0
Teleop0.4
End2.0
blue by 8.6
2577
#21
16.00.6
13.414.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed