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Red40
5621.5
86286.6
813011.4
Blue60
167629.5
689717.4
10217.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336502040801001201404060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#12
21.50.1
15.415.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End11.2
blue by 8.0
29.50.2
29.629.8
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End11.4
Second
8130
#37
11.40.1
11.912.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End2.2
blue by 6.5
102
#23
17.90.2
13.113.3
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End5.6
Third
8628
#33
6.60.1
7.97.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.8
blue by 10.8
6897
#17
17.40.2
14.314.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed72%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed59%Hangar oddsEarned