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Red32
47507.7
80758.9
257716.0
Blue46
19320.6
3037.3
851312.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35450204060803246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2577
#21
16.00.4
16.015.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End5.4
blue by 4.6
193
#22
20.60.3
21.221.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End4.6
Second
8075
#36
8.90.4
9.38.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.9
End2.5
blue by 3.5
8513
#19
12.40.4
12.012.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Third
4750
#32
7.70.5
8.98.3
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End1.0
red by 0.3
303
#34
7.30.3
7.98.2
Auto5.0
Teleop0.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed