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Red74
813011.4
599211.4
4133.6
Blue79
813917.9
140326.8
7520.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5566204060801007479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#7
33.61.4
31.933.4
Auto8.1
Teleop18.3
End7.1
red by 6.9
26.81.2
25.827.0
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End7.2
Second
8130
#37
11.41.4
11.112.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End2.2
blue by 9.3
75
#16
20.71.2
18.319.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Third
5992
#28
11.41.4
9.811.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 6.5
8139
#15
17.91.2
16.517.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned