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Red35
16475.8
457312.5
711017.0
Blue84
83427.4
465320.7
218017.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326302040801003584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7110
#24
17.00.2
18.118.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 10.4
834
#5
27.41.6
19.020.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End8.4
Second
4573
#19
12.50.2
11.511.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End4.9
blue by 8.2
4653
#12
20.71.6
20.622.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End3.6
Third
1647
#28
5.80.2
4.34.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.3
End2.0
blue by 12.1
2180
#14
17.91.6
15.717.3
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed71%Hangar oddsMissed