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Red70
272018.7
180729.3
8169.3
Blue54
813911.4
259038.9
54576.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51450204060801007054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.5
23.625.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End9.4
blue by 9.5
38.90.4
29.530.0
Auto10.6
Teleop16.3
End12.0
Second
2720
#21
18.71.5
12.814.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End9.6
red by 7.2
8139
#22
11.40.7
7.78.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Third
816
#32
9.31.5
10.912.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End3.9
red by 2.8
5457
#31
6.50.4
6.16.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned26%Hangar oddsMissed