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Red83
108923.3
249521.9
36527.3
Blue84
465210.9
542025.1
434230.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55530204060801001208384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#13
27.31.6
23.324.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End5.2
blue by 2.9
30.22.3
26.228.5
Auto8.9
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
23.31.6
13.314.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End1.3
blue by 1.9
25.12.3
16.618.8
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Third
2495
#11
21.91.6
14.516.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
red by 11.0
4652
#18
10.92.3
7.19.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned