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Red12
540710.4
622620.6
68601.5
Blue44
20321.3
692112.0
45759.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39442030506070801244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
#15
20.61.7
20.218.5
Auto9.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 0.7
203
#10
21.30.2
19.519.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End8.1
Second
5407
#26
10.41.7
14.913.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End3.3
blue by 1.6
6921
#17
12.00.4
12.312.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End4.7
Third
6860
#34
1.51.7
2.40.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.6
End0.9
blue by 8.4
4575
#33
9.80.4
8.99.2
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned