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Red75
218017.9
589544.0
465210.9
Blue37
811714.6
434230.2
68601.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8044020601001201407537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.2
43.443.2
Auto14.5
Teleop24.0
End5.4
red by 13.7
30.20.6
29.629.0
Auto8.9
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
2180
#14
17.90.2
16.716.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End2.2
red by 3.3
8117
#30
14.60.6
14.513.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.8
Third
4652
#18
10.90.2
10.210.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End5.7
red by 9.5
6860
#34
1.50.6
2.01.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned