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Qual 402022 FMA District Seneca Event
Red21
457312.5
54576.5
568415.3
Blue62
108923.3
813911.4
45759.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3940203050602162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#25
15.31.1
15.8→14.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 7.9
1089
#6
23.31.4
18.9→20.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End1.3
Second
4573
#19
12.51.1
13.9→12.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End4.9
red by 1.0
8139
#22
11.42.3
7.7→10.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
Third
5457
#31
6.51.1
7.9→6.8
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 3.4
4575
#33
9.82.3
10.2→12.6
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed