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Red59
813911.4
8169.3
36527.3
Blue56
573221.6
249521.9
540710.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48562040801005956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#13
27.30.8
26.427.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End5.2
red by 5.4
2495
#11
21.90.3
19.820.1
Auto6.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
Second
8139
#22
11.41.3
10.111.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
blue by 10.2
21.60.3
21.221.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.9
End4.7
Third
816
#32
9.30.8
9.810.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End3.9
blue by 1.1
5407
#26
10.40.3
10.911.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed