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Red34
272210.8
457312.5
83427.4
Blue96
622620.6
589544.0
253934.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4711101001503496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#5
27.41.2
26.825.6
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End8.4
blue by 16.6
44.00.5
43.242.7
Auto14.5
Teleop24.0
End5.4
Second
4573
#19
12.51.2
12.811.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End4.9
blue by 22.5
34.90.5
32.331.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End12.3
Third
2722
#29
10.81.2
12.811.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End2.7
blue by 9.8
6226
#15
20.60.5
20.419.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned