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Red60
632717.3
20321.3
272210.8
Blue14
711017.0
540710.4
692112.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505020304060706014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#10
21.30.9
20.121.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.4
End8.1
red by 4.2
7110
#24
17.02.2
19.417.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Second
6327
#16
17.31.1
17.018.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End5.5
red by 5.3
6921
#17
12.02.7
15.312.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End4.7
Third
2722
#29
10.80.9
9.810.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End2.7
red by 0.4
5407
#26
10.42.2
12.610.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsMissed