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Red58
813911.4
511310.9
589544.0
Blue79
36527.3
457312.5
622620.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765820401001205879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.7
44.844.1
Auto14.5
Teleop24.0
End5.4
red by 16.6
365
#13
27.30.7
25.025.7
Auto7.7
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Second
8139
#22
11.40.8
12.711.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
blue by 9.1
6226
#15
20.60.7
19.920.6
Auto9.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
5113
#27
10.90.7
11.310.6
Auto5.7
Teleop2.5
End2.7
blue by 1.6
4573
#19
12.50.7
11.812.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
77%Cargo oddsEarned34%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsEarned