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Red79
448017.8
591335.6
88787.7
Blue64
842212.3
87638.1
33138.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646250556070757964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
Unranked
35.60.4
35.135.6
Auto11.5
Teleop16.3
End7.8
blue by 2.5
876
Unranked
38.10.1
38.038.1
Auto9.2
Teleop18.0
End10.8
Second
4480
Unranked
17.80.4
17.417.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End10.4
red by 5.6
8422
Unranked
12.30.1
12.112.3
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.0
End10.2
Third
8878
Unranked
7.70.4
7.37.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End2.9
blue by 0.9
3313
Unranked
8.60.1
8.58.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End0.7