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Quarterfinal 22022 NMRC Open
Red67
565312.3
313420.4
423810.1
Blue87
448017.8
591335.6
88787.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162020801006787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
Unranked
20.40.5
19.8→20.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End10.5
blue by 15.2
5913
Unranked
35.60.7
33.7→34.4
Auto11.5
Teleop16.3
End7.8
Second
5653
Unranked
12.30.5
11.7→12.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End7.6
blue by 5.5
4480
Unranked
17.80.7
16.0→16.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End10.4
Third
4238
Unranked
10.10.5
9.5→10.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End3.2
red by 2.4
8878
Unranked
7.70.7
5.8→6.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End2.9