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Red33
563816.3
767717.9
88787.7
Blue44
472818.3
327710.2
253810.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47441020304060703344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7677
Unranked
17.90.8
17.616.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End5.2
blue by 0.4
4728
Unranked
18.30.3
19.519.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End7.3
Second
5638
Unranked
16.30.8
17.016.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 5.4
2538
Unranked
10.90.3
11.511.2
Auto3.8
Teleop0.8
End6.3
Third
8878
Unranked
7.70.8
7.06.1
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End2.9
blue by 2.6
3277
Unranked
10.20.3
13.413.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsMissed