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Qual 252022 NMRC Open
Red48
448017.8
313420.4
32759.4
Blue35
842212.3
472818.3
310216.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5652304060704835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
Unranked
20.40.8
22.6→21.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End10.5
red by 2.1
4728
Unranked
18.30.9
19.2→18.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End7.3
Second
4480
Unranked
17.80.8
16.5→15.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End10.4
red by 1.6
3102
Unranked
16.20.9
16.7→15.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.1
Third
3275
Unranked
9.40.8
12.6→11.8
Auto3.6
Teleop1.2
End4.5
blue by 2.9
8422
Unranked
12.30.9
13.1→12.2
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.0
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned53%Hangar oddsEarned