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Red16
327710.2
87638.1
33138.6
Blue66
363033.9
563816.3
253810.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7166203040506080901001666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
Unranked
38.13.3
41.438.0
Auto9.2
Teleop18.0
End10.8
red by 4.2
3630
Unranked
33.90.2
36.136.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End7.8
Second
3277
Unranked
10.23.3
13.19.8
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 6.0
5638
Unranked
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Third
3313
Unranked
8.63.3
11.48.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End0.7
blue by 2.2
2538
Unranked
10.90.2
10.610.9
Auto3.8
Teleop0.8
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsMissed