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Qual 62022 NMRC Open
Red74
453920.0
363033.9
565312.3
Blue39
472818.3
88787.7
313420.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8260020401001201407439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
Unranked
33.90.3
39.6→39.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End7.8
red by 13.5
3134
Unranked
20.41.4
23.6→22.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End10.5
Second
4539
Unranked
20.00.3
17.8→17.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End4.8
red by 1.7
4728
Unranked
18.31.4
27.3→26.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End7.3
Third
5653
Unranked
12.30.3
16.8→16.5
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End7.6
red by 4.7
8878
Unranked
7.71.4
8.4→7.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
63%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned