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Red61
591335.6
563816.3
81889.6
Blue51
467416.4
448017.8
88787.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6539020801001206151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
Unranked
35.60.2
33.233.4
Auto11.5
Teleop16.3
End7.8
red by 17.7
4480
Unranked
17.80.7
16.016.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End10.4
Second
5638
Unranked
16.30.2
16.016.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
blue by 0.1
4674
Unranked
16.40.7
17.217.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.2
End12.2
Third
8188
Unranked
9.60.2
8.48.7
Auto2.5
Teleop0.9
End6.3
red by 1.9
8878
Unranked
7.70.7
7.07.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned