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Red64
704816.9
453917.7
327512.2
Blue41
423815.1
645318.7
525311.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5248203040607080906441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
Unranked
17.70.3
18.318.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
blue by 1.0
6453
Unranked
18.70.1
18.818.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End11.0
Second
7048
Unranked
16.90.3
17.617.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
red by 1.8
4238
Unranked
15.10.1
15.215.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End5.4
Third
3275
Unranked
12.20.3
12.813.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7
red by 0.7
5253
Unranked
11.50.1
11.611.5
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End6.6