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Red68
565317.5
591334.3
467417.7
Blue43
767715.6
448017.2
842215.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7846020601001201401606843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
Unranked
34.30.0
34.234.1
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End6.2
red by 17.1
4480
Unranked
17.20.1
17.016.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End8.8
Second
4674
Unranked
17.70.0
17.517.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End11.5
red by 2.1
7677
Unranked
15.60.1
15.315.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End4.6
Third
5653
Unranked
17.50.0
17.317.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End9.2
red by 2.0
8422
Unranked
15.50.1
15.315.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End10.7