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Red2
704816.9
453917.7
327512.2
Blue0
704816.9
453917.7
327512.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5353020304060708020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
Unranked
17.71.1
18.717.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Level
4539
Unranked
17.71.1
18.717.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
7048
Unranked
16.91.1
17.916.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Level
7048
Unranked
16.91.1
17.916.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Third
3275
Unranked
12.21.1
13.212.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7
Level
3275
Unranked
12.21.1
13.212.1
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7