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Red71
250319.0
313422.9
327714.6
Blue47
704816.9
453917.7
327512.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604802040801007147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
Unranked
22.90.3
22.422.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End12.6
red by 5.2
4539
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
2503
Unranked
19.00.3
18.518.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End10.6
red by 2.1
7048
Unranked
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Third
3277
Unranked
14.60.3
14.214.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 2.4
3275
Unranked
12.20.0
12.212.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7