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Red86
310213.9
87641.4
331312.7
Blue55
704816.9
453917.7
327512.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7546020601001201401608655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
Unranked
41.40.3
40.941.2
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End10.2
red by 23.7
4539
Unranked
17.70.1
17.617.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
3102
Unranked
13.90.3
13.513.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 3.0
7048
Unranked
16.90.1
16.816.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Third
3313
Unranked
12.70.3
12.212.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
red by 0.5
3275
Unranked
12.20.1
12.112.2
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7