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Red2
310213.9
87641.4
331312.7
Blue0
310213.9
87641.4
331312.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767602040608010020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
Unranked
41.41.6
42.540.9
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End10.2
Level
876
Unranked
41.41.6
42.540.9
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End10.2
Second
3102
Unranked
13.91.6
15.013.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Level
3102
Unranked
13.91.6
15.013.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Third
3313
Unranked
12.71.6
13.812.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
Level
3313
Unranked
12.71.6
13.812.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1