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Red60
704816.9
423815.1
645318.7
Blue43
72358.4
329413.1
467417.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554102060801006043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6453
Unranked
18.70.7
18.118.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End11.0
red by 1.0
4674
Unranked
17.70.2
18.919.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End11.5
Second
7048
Unranked
16.90.7
16.917.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
red by 3.8
3294
Unranked
13.10.2
12.913.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End5.3
Third
4238
Unranked
15.10.7
14.515.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End5.4
red by 6.7
7235
Unranked
8.40.2
8.28.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed2%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned