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Red43
327714.6
46239.8
525311.5
Blue55
453917.7
88788.2
448017.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34470204060801004355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
Unranked
14.60.6
13.514.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 3.1
4539
Unranked
17.70.5
17.818.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
Second
5253
Unranked
11.50.6
10.911.6
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End6.6
blue by 5.7
4480
Unranked
17.20.5
17.417.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End8.8
Third
4623
Unranked
9.80.6
9.29.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End2.4
red by 1.6
8878
Unranked
8.20.5
7.78.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned