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Red78
767715.6
313422.9
565317.5
Blue38
423815.1
310213.9
329413.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5845020801007838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
Unranked
22.91.7
20.722.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End12.6
red by 7.7
4238
Unranked
15.10.4
14.914.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End5.4
Second
5653
Unranked
17.51.7
17.319.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End9.2
red by 3.6
3102
Unranked
13.90.4
15.415.0
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Third
7677
Unranked
15.61.7
14.616.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End4.6
red by 2.5
3294
Unranked
13.10.4
13.212.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsEarned10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed