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Red51
565317.5
591334.3
525311.5
Blue21
46239.8
72358.4
331312.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions782602040601001205121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
Unranked
34.31.6
37.335.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End6.2
red by 21.7
3313
Unranked
12.70.7
11.711.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
Second
5653
Unranked
17.51.6
19.417.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End9.2
red by 7.7
4623
Unranked
9.80.7
10.29.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End2.4
Third
5253
Unranked
11.51.6
9.78.1
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End6.6
red by 3.0
7235
Unranked
8.40.7
8.98.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed