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Red30
88788.2
310213.9
327512.2
Blue61
704816.9
313422.9
327714.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335902040801001203061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
Unranked
13.90.3
12.812.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 9.0
3134
Unranked
22.90.3
20.921.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End12.6
Second
3275
Unranked
12.20.3
12.712.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7
blue by 4.7
7048
Unranked
16.90.3
14.915.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Third
8878
Unranked
8.20.3
8.98.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 6.4
3277
Unranked
14.60.3
16.717.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsEarned