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Red44
46239.8
767715.6
448017.2
Blue74
591334.3
327512.2
423815.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416702060801001204474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4480
Unranked
17.20.1
17.517.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End8.8
blue by 17.1
5913
Unranked
34.30.9
34.035.0
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End6.2
Second
7677
Unranked
15.60.1
14.714.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End4.6
red by 0.4
4238
Unranked
15.10.9
14.014.9
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End5.4
Third
4623
Unranked
9.80.1
9.39.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 2.4
3275
Unranked
12.20.9
11.812.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsEarned