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Red76
331312.7
88788.2
87641.4
Blue57
313422.9
467417.7
842215.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645702040801001207657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
Unranked
41.41.1
40.641.7
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End10.2
red by 18.5
3134
Unranked
22.90.2
20.520.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End12.6
Second
3313
Unranked
12.71.1
12.313.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 5.0
4674
Unranked
17.70.2
18.018.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End11.5
Third
8878
Unranked
8.21.1
6.67.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 7.3
8422
Unranked
15.50.2
16.216.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed95%Hangar oddsEarned