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Red74
453917.7
704816.9
250319.0
Blue58
645318.7
565317.5
329413.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5148304060707458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2503
Unranked
19.01.8
16.318.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End10.6
red by 0.3
6453
Unranked
18.70.8
16.917.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End11.0
Second
4539
Unranked
17.71.8
16.017.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
red by 0.2
5653
Unranked
17.50.8
16.517.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End9.2
Third
7048
Unranked
16.91.8
15.116.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
red by 3.8
3294
Unranked
13.10.8
12.413.2
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned