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Red35
327714.6
72358.4
327512.2
Blue41
310213.9
525311.5
842215.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35470204060801003541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
Unranked
14.60.0
13.413.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 0.9
8422
Unranked
15.50.1
16.416.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End10.7
Second
3275
Unranked
12.20.0
12.812.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7
blue by 1.7
3102
Unranked
13.90.1
15.515.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Third
7235
Unranked
8.40.0
8.28.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.5
End4.5
blue by 3.0
5253
Unranked
11.50.1
11.110.9
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsMissed