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Red45
645318.7
525311.5
467417.7
Blue44
327512.2
448017.2
565317.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495702040801001201401604544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6453
Unranked
18.70.4
17.617.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End11.0
red by 1.2
5653
Unranked
17.50.6
19.919.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End9.2
Second
4674
Unranked
17.70.4
17.417.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End11.5
red by 0.5
4480
Unranked
17.20.7
18.417.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End8.8
Third
5253
Unranked
11.50.6
12.411.9
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End6.6
blue by 0.7
3275
Unranked
12.20.6
14.413.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned