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Red33
453917.7
842215.5
331312.7
Blue50
310213.9
313422.9
46239.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484620304060703350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
Unranked
17.70.8
14.513.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End4.8
blue by 5.2
3134
Unranked
22.90.2
21.221.3
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End12.6
Second
8422
Unranked
15.51.0
17.416.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End10.7
red by 1.6
3102
Unranked
13.90.2
13.313.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.3
Third
3313
Unranked
12.70.8
13.212.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
red by 2.8
4623
Unranked
9.80.2
8.89.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned