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Red22
525311.5
329413.1
327512.2
Blue43
423815.1
88788.2
250319.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434210203050602243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3294
Unranked
13.11.4
13.912.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End5.3
blue by 5.9
2503
Unranked
19.00.2
16.516.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End10.6
Second
3275
Unranked
12.21.2
13.912.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End5.7
blue by 3.0
4238
Unranked
15.10.2
15.315.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End5.4
Third
5253
Unranked
11.51.4
11.910.4
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End6.6
red by 3.2
8878
Unranked
8.20.2
8.78.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed41%Hangar oddsEarned