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Red69
72358.4
87641.4
704816.9
Blue70
313422.9
591334.3
448017.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6284020401001201401606970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
Unranked
41.40.5
37.638.1
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End10.2
red by 7.0
5913
Unranked
34.30.4
37.136.7
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End6.2
Second
7048
Unranked
16.90.5
14.414.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.7
End5.6
blue by 6.0
3134
Unranked
22.90.4
21.320.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.7
End12.6
Third
7235
Unranked
8.40.5
9.19.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.5
End4.5
blue by 8.8
4480
Unranked
17.20.5
17.717.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsEarned76%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned