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Quarterfinal 2-32022 Las Vegas Regional
Red61
330923.5
210229.6
641516.6
Blue75
742627.9
547226.3
138820.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74812040601001201401606175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#5
29.60.2
29.8→29.6
Auto11.1
Teleop11.1
End7.4
red by 1.7
7426
#11
27.90.2
28.3→28.1
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End9.8
Second
3309
#13
23.50.2
23.7→23.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End6.7
blue by 2.8
5472
#6
26.30.2
26.7→26.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End12.3
Third
6415
#30
16.60.3
16.9→16.6
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End7.8
blue by 3.6
1388
#17
20.20.2
20.6→20.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8