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Red108
418328.9
98748.8
99116.5
Blue77
699529.8
49828.2
585118.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10379406012014016010877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#2
48.80.3
48.648.9
Auto14.0
Teleop22.4
End12.4
red by 19.0
29.80.2
29.929.8
Auto8.2
Teleop8.1
End13.4
Second
4183
#18
28.90.3
28.628.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End11.2
red by 0.7
498
#4
28.20.2
28.428.2
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
Third
991
#31
16.50.3
16.216.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.4
End4.8
blue by 1.9
5851
#21
18.40.2
18.518.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End9.0