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Red42
87207.3
138820.2
585118.4
Blue45
641516.6
68259.8
74229.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4424060804245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#17
20.20.2
15.015.2
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
red by 3.6
6415
#30
16.62.3
10.212.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End7.8
Second
5851
#21
18.40.3
16.516.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End9.0
red by 8.5
6825
#26
9.82.3
6.99.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Third
8720
#40
7.30.4
7.07.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End1.4
blue by 2.3
7422
#42
9.62.3
7.69.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsEarned