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Qual 162022 Las Vegas Regional
Red51
9888.3
800512.9
418328.9
Blue19
70776.4
54299.8
742414.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412502060805119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#18
28.91.0
21.6→22.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End11.2
red by 14.4
7424
#22
14.51.2
9.8→8.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End5.9
Second
8005
#25Sur
12.91.6
9.1→10.8
Auto6.0
Teleop3.2
End3.7
red by 3.2
5429
#34
9.81.2
7.4→6.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Third
988
#37
8.31.6
5.8→7.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 1.9
7077
#33Sur
6.41.2
8.5→7.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsMissed